Tracking surprise in financial forecasts π±
Aiming to improve forecasting accuracy, I’m proposing a new metric to track the portion of monthly changes in project cost estimates that can be attributed to previously identified risks.
Aiming to improve forecasting accuracy, I’m proposing a new metric to track the portion of monthly changes in project cost estimates that can be attributed to previously identified risks.
π΅ Song of the week for my daughter β How Soon Is Now? by The Smiths. A classic alternative song that still sounds great to me.
Go by The Chemical Brothers showed up just in time to get me through todayβs tough ride π΄π΅
So I propose (years late, many bucks short) we just toss it all in the bin and go back to the beginning. Blogs, newsletters, IRC, mailing groups, and, sure why not, Usenet, go nuts. (The jury is still out on forums, but I suspect they are actually a stunted malformed sapling sprung from the same seed of evil that created modern social media.) These things are time tested, functional even in the face of overwhelming lack of interest from the general internet, and are, most importantly, utterly unbreakable. A specific blog, irc etc etc might disappear, but that won’t take anything besides that one facet of a larger whole with it.
I don’t think this is just nostalgia, though there is some of that. The “old” internet was robust and vibrant in a way that modern sites aren’t.
Finished reading: The Song of Achilles by Madeline Miller is very well done. Really fleshes out the Achilles myth and brings Greek heros and gods to life π
George had a busy day
I’m updating some app defaults to explore indie alternatives, enhance content discovery, and reduce reliance on Apple services.
π Why the Online Harms Act is the Wrong Way to Regulate AI Chatbots - Michael Geist
Applying the Online Harms Act to AI chatbot conversations now risks reopening the very issues policymakers previously sought to avoid. In fact, it is difficult to see the difference between something posted to an AI chatbot or similar content entered into a search query or included in text message or email correspondence. If proactive monitoring of searches, emails or texts is subject to privacy safeguards, so too should be AI chatbot engagement.
I’m all for smart regulation of AI, but agree that this isn’t the way to go.
Vereda Central. π
βοΈ Tried a new (to me) coffee shop nearby: Vereda Central. Good coffee!

Great advice from Greg Morris in Noticing, Not Performing
Noticing your life doesnβt require depth. It requires attention.
Once I stopped trying to use my journal as a memoir and just captured daily thoughts, feelings, and happenings, my journal became useful and enjoyable.
π Boredom Is the Price We Pay for Meaning - The Atlantic
But boredom neednβt be destructive. The discomfort of boredom, even the anguish of it, can spur us into flights of imagination, resourcefulness, and invention. It can prod us to seek more absorbing circumstances: a career more aligned with our interests, a partner more aligned with our needs, a livelier town, better hobbies, new forms of beauty and inspiration.
Boredom is the price we pay for a life rich with meaning. Recognizing this makes the feeling more endurable.
Even though my meditation practice helps with this, boredom is still tough to embrace. My best strategy so far is to generally leave my phone by the door, rather than always carry it around. Then, those moments when I’m tempted to pull out my phone for a distraction, can’t be avoided.
Recent developments in RSS, including new apps like Current and Inkwell, have sparked interest in βriver of newsβ approaches. Iβm trying to keep to a trickle of well-curated sources, but am keen to experiment with Inkwell.
π΅ Song of the week for my daughter β Don’t Swallow the Cap by The National from Trouble Will Find Me. Likely my favourite song from them.
Losing Everything (feat. AnaΓ―s Mitchell) by Donovan Woods from Squander Your Gifts is a highlight of a great new EP π΅
Iβm looking forward to this season of For All Mankind π
Transitioning to iOS-only usage led to the adoption of the Synology BeeStation and Parachute app for efficient, independent file and photo backups.
Thanks to my colleague for this nice card
π΅ Song of the week for my daughter: With or Without You by U2 from The Joshua Tree. Kind of ridiculous to pick a single U2 song, but I chose this one.
Finished reading: I really enjoyed The Bees by Laline Paull. Such an imaginative story about a bee hive π
πββοΈ Winter was back for todayβs run